Bush Poll Graphic
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Bush polls are averaged between the top national non-partisan polls. The ones used are listed in the detail section below. They are averaged to eliminate spikes or valleys by one poll from distorting the national feeling.
Polls are recalculated when either several polls have changed or any poll has changed and several weeks have passed.
Bush polls summary has the poll, the current number, the direction since the last poll and the change, and the date. See the summary section below.
When polls are too old, they are eliminated from the computations, but are listed in their own section for historical interest. Old polls will be re-added for the computations when they are current. See the inactive section for those polls.
Once an average is determine, that one number is kept for historical purposes and for the graph of job approval ratings. The history section includes this number for the past year while the graph goes back to June 2001.
We dropped Fox (30%), PEW (28%) and CNN (31%) due to the age of their poll. We re-added ABC (33%) and Newsweek (28) as they have new polls.
Bush has reached a new low of 28.43%. That is two new lows in a row. His goal of less than half the approval (45%) still seems less likely.
The record low so far is 29.00% (04 / 11 / 2008).
Over 2 years and 02 months under 40% (from 2/28/06) of sustained ratings.
Over 2 years and 09 months under 45% (from 7/17/05) and
Over 4 years and 02 months under 50% (from 2/16/04) of sustained ratings.
Current average:
28.88%
0.43 higgher than last poll (231 points for 8 polls)
Gain/Loss in 2008:
4.13%
January start: 33.00%
9/11 bump:
35.66%
After 9/11 drop average:
52.38%
419 base points
Just before 9/11 average:
51.75%
621 base point of 12 polls
Just after 9/11 average:
87.41%
1049 base point of 12 polls
Current high poll(s):
33.00%
ABC (04/10)
Current low poll(s):
27.00%
PEW (4/23), NBC (4/25)
ABC & Washington Post
33.00%
(+1) 04/10/08
AP/Ipsos-Reid/AOL
28.00%
(-2) 04/07/08
CBS
28.00%
(-0) 05/01/08
CNN/Opinion Research
28.00%
(-3) 04/28/08
Gallup
28.00%
(-0) 5/01/08
NBC/Wall Street
27.00%
(-5) 04/25/08
Newsweek
28.00%
(-2) 04/16/08
PEW
27.00%
(-1) 04/23/08
Fox
32.00%
(+2) 04/28/08
Harris
26.00%
(-2) 04/02/08
IBD/CSM
43.00%
(-0) 08/02/04
LA Times/Bloomberg
34.00%
(+0) 02/21/08
NPR
38.00%
(+0) 01/29/08
Quinnipiac
35.00%
(+6) 10/23/07
Time
33.00%
(+0) 04/05/07
Zogby/Reuters
25.00%
(-7) 10/10/07
ABC/Washington Post
04/10/08
33%
Approval
02/28/08
32%
01/30/08
33%
01/09/08
32%
Pre-911
55%
(09/06/01)
Post-911
92%
(10/08/01)
03/02/06
46%
Favorablity
06/02/05
48%
10/02/04
53%
09/23/04
52%
AP Ipsos-Reid/Cook
04/07/08
28%
Approval
03/03/08
30%
02/04/08
30%
01/07/08
34%
Pre-911
45%
(09/05/01)
Post-911
88%
(11/09/01)
11/04/05
38%
Favorablity
10/08/05
41%
09/09/05
42%
CBS & NY Times
05/01/08
28%
Approval
04/25/08
28%
03/28/08
28%
03/15/08
29%
Pre-911
50%
(08/28/01)
Post-911
90%
(10/08/01)
03/07/07
30%
Favorablity
02/08/07
32%
01/18/07
27%
10/05/06
34%
CNN/Opinion Research
04/28/08
28%
Approval
03/14/08
31%
02/01/08
32%
01/14/08
34%
Pre-911
--
n/a
Post-911
--
n/a)
09/22/06
46%
Favorablity
04/21/06
40%
FOX
04/28/08
32%
Approval
03/18/08
30%
02/19/08
32%
01/30/08
33%
Pre-911
55%
(08/22/01)
Post-911
84%
(10/17/01)
05/15/07
41%
Favorablity
03/27/07
38%
01/16/07
38%
10/10/06
43%
Gallup
05/01/08
28%
Approval
04/18/08
28%
04/06/08
28%
03/06/08
32%
Pre-911
51%
(09/07/01)
Post-911
90%
(09/21/01)
07/12/07
37%
Favorablity
06/01/07
40%
02/09/07
44%
01/05/07
45%
Harris
04/02/08
26%
Approval
02/06/08
28%
11/30/07
32%
10/05/07
27%
Pre-911
52%
(08/15/01)
Post-911
88%
(10/17/01)
NBC/Wall Street Journal
04/25/08
27%
Approval
03/07/08
32%
01/20/08
31%
12/14/07
34%
Pre-911
50%
(06/23/01)
03/07/08
34%
Favorablity
01/20/08
32%
12/14/07
36%
Newsweek
04/16/08
28%
Approval
03/05/08
30%
02/06/08
30%
08/01/07
29%
Pre-911
50%
(05/10/01)
Post-911
88%
(10/11/01)
03/05/08
33%
Favorablity
10/31/07
34%
10/14/04
51%
09/30/04
49%
PEW
04/23/08
27%
Approval
03/19/08
28%
02/20/08
33%
01/30/08
31%
Pre-911
51%
(08/21/01)
Post-911
86%
(09/21/01)
02/20/08
35%
Favorablity - very/mostly
01/30/08
34%
01/09/08
36%
12/07/07
39%
Investor's Business Daily/
Christian Science Monitor
08/02/04
43%
Approval
06/01/04
43%
06/02/03
57%
05/05/03
64%
Pre-911
45%
(09/05/01)
Post-911
82%
(10/03/01)
08/02/04
43%
Favorablity
06/02/04
55%
06/01/04
42%
LA Times/Bloomberg
02/21/08
34%
Approval
01/18/08
34%
11/30/07
33%
10/19/07
35%
Pre-911
57%
(04/21/01)
Post-911
86%
(11/10/01)
01/15/05
55%
Favorablity
08/21/04
53%
06/05/04
50%
National Public Radio
01/29/08
38%
Approval
10/04/07
38%
04/26/07
37%
12/07/06
40%
Pre-911
N/A
not found
Post-911
N/A
not found
Quinnipiac University
10/23/07
35%
Approval
08/07/07
29%
06/05/07
28%
04/25/07
35%
Pre-911
N/A
not known
Post-911
N/A
not known
11/13/06
44%
Favorablity
08/17/06
46%
05/21/06
43%
Time
04/05/07
33%
03/23/07
33%
03/09/07
32%
02/23/07
33%
Pre-911
55%
(07/17/01)
Post-911
89%
Zogby
10/10/07
25%
08/09/07
32%
07/12/07
34%
05/07/07
33%
Pre-911
50%
(08/28/01)
Post-911
82%
(09/14/01)
10/20/06
45%
Favorablity
10/10/06
47%
09/22/06
49%
09/12/06
51%